Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.072390 0.081203 0.090182 0.099986 0.110361 0.120986 0.132664
2025-08-10 0.058067 0.071182 0.085167 0.101057 0.118486 0.136909 0.157745
2025-08-17 0.048121 0.063735 0.081036 0.101324 0.124185 0.148905 0.177419
2025-08-24 0.038816 0.055609 0.074931 0.098266 0.125200 0.154895 0.189718
2025-08-31 0.031752 0.049197 0.070011 0.095835 0.126281 0.160412 0.200989
2025-09-07 0.027577 0.045797 0.068227 0.096680 0.130795 0.169535 0.216070
2025-09-14 0.024519 0.043456 0.067445 0.098472 0.136210 0.179528 0.232006
2025-09-21 0.022812 0.042699 0.068484 0.102351 0.144004 0.192206 0.250976
2025-09-28 0.020258 0.040497 0.067470 0.103523 0.148416 0.200835 0.265190
2025-10-05 0.020528 0.042304 0.071690 0.111272 0.160825 0.218909 0.290428
2025-10-12 0.017655 0.039225 0.069224 0.110379 0.162544 0.224232 0.300698
2025-10-19 0.016407 0.038469 0.069804 0.113325 0.168947 0.235102 0.317461
2025-10-26 0.014185 0.036097 0.068202 0.113589 0.172272 0.242626 0.330735
2025-11-02 0.012518 0.034461 0.067556 0.115089 0.177176 0.252127 0.346474
2025-11-09 0.010730 0.032381 0.066122 0.115427 0.180532 0.259701 0.359886
2025-11-16 0.008312 0.028770 0.062171 0.112143 0.179085 0.261263 0.365971
2025-11-23 0.006403 0.025733 0.058842 0.109525 0.178352 0.263593 0.372889
2025-11-30 0.005433 0.024427 0.058092 0.110436 0.182167 0.271519 0.386556
2025-12-07 0.004754 0.023632 0.058090 0.112366 0.187296 0.281070 0.402196
2025-12-14 0.004504 0.023807 0.059654 0.116541 0.195407 0.294366 0.422426
2025-12-21 0.003836 0.022821 0.059232 0.117801 0.199610 0.302744 0.436640
2025-12-28 0.004243 0.024674 0.063625 0.126123 0.213301 0.323109 0.465585
2026-01-04 0.003334 0.022862 0.061722 0.125165 0.214506 0.327701 0.475168